Tuesday update: biggest rain in months possible after Thanksgiving
Monday update: cold fronts on the 10-day
FOGGY WEATHER – Adam Krueger
FOGGY COMMUTE – Niku Kazori
10-DAY FORECAST – Adam Krueger
FALL FOLIAGE HOT SPOTS IN TX
Forget the 10-day, how about a 100-day forecast?
Got your attention? First, let me say that day-to-day specifics get pretty murky beyond a week or so, but broad long term trends are actually quite predictable at times. This is one of those times.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says odds favor a warm and dry winter for Texas and much of the southern U.S., as seen below on these outlooks for November through January. “A” stands for above average, “EC” stands for equal chances and “B” stands for below average.
How can we be so certain of this pattern? A big part of it has to do with something called La Nina, which is a term used when the sea surface temperatures near the equator in the Pacific are cooler than average. This influences broad weather patterns in the U.S. Specifically, as seen below, the jet stream tends to remain over the northern U.S., keeping cold fronts and active weather north of Texas.
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